Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.