Belgian Pro League
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cheick Keita 23' yellowcard
  • Yacine Titraoui 42' goal
  • Yacine Titraoui 73' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 89' goal
  • goal Bryan Heynen 14'
  • goal Bryan Heynen 69'

Charleroi vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
Charleroi 1 - 1 Union SG
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Aurelien Scheidler

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 6.15pm
Genk 1 - 1 Westerlo
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Daan Heymans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Genk had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Charleroi 38.19% (+0.77)
Draw 24.63% (+0.09)
Genk 37.18% (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.1% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 43.9% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 33.71% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 66.29% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 17.31% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 82.69% (+0.30)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 77.15% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 22.85% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 43.43% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 56.57% (-0.31)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 76.63% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 23.37% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 42.66% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 57.34% (+0.92)

Score analysis

Charleroi 38.19%
Draw 24.62%
Genk 37.18%
Charleroi
2-1 @ 8.46% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.88% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.82% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.86% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.34% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.62%
Genk
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 37.18%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Sep 17, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Parfait Guiagon 30' yellowcard
  • Adem Zorgane 74' yellowcard
  • Daan Heymans 89' goal
  • Isaac Mbenza 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matte Smets 27'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 71'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 15
Nov 23, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Nikolas Sattlberger 46' yellowcard
  • Thorsten Fink 51' yellowcard
  • Tolu Arokodare 77' goal
  • Jarne Steuckers 83' goal
  • Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 90' goal
  • yellowcard Aiham Ousou 54'
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 64'
  • yellowcard Rik De Mil 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 90'+1'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 27
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Youssuf Sylla 44' yellowcard
  • Marco Ilaimaharitra 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tolu Arokodare 45'+1'
  • goal Yira Sor 71'
  • yellowcard Bilal El Khannous 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Isaac Mbenza 3' goal
  • Ken Nkuba 51' goal
  • goal Mark McKenzie 2'
  • goal Mbwana Samatta 31'