Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Genk had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Genk
38.19% ( 0.76)	24.63% ( 0.09)	37.18% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 59.12% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

-0.42)

43.9% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.71% (

-0.41)

66.29% (

0.41)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.2)

22.85% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

0.3)

56.57% (

-0.31)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.63)

23.37% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.92)

57.34% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 38.19%

Genk 37.18%

Draw 24.62%

Charleroi	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.18%