Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Catanzaro
38.56% ( 0.09)	27.53% ( -0.41)	33.92% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.4% (

1.6)

56.6% (

-1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.42% (

1.27)

77.58% (

-1.26)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

0.83)

28.51% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72% (

1.02)

64.29% (

-1.02)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

1.04)

31.38% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

1.18)

67.75% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Bari 38.55%

Catanzaro 33.91%

Draw 27.53%

Bari	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.55%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.91%