Serie B
Dec 19, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 77' yellowcard
  • Nicola Bellomo 90'+3' goal
  • goal Simone Pontisso 30'
  • yellowcard Costantino Favasuli 46'
  • goal Matias Antonini 49'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Brighenti 82'
  • yellowcard Fabio Rispoli 86'

Bari vs Catanzaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 2.00pm
Sudtirol 0 - 0 Bari
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 4.15pm
Catanzaro 1 - 0 Avellino
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Pietro Iemmello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Bari 38.56% (+0.09)
Draw 27.53% (-0.42)
Catanzaro 33.92% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.06% (+1.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.4% (+1.60)
Under 2.5 56.6% (-1.60)
Over 3.5 22.42% (+1.27)
Under 3.5 77.58% (-1.27)
Over 4.5 9.77% (+0.76)
Under 4.5 90.24% (-0.75)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 71.49% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 28.51% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 35.72% (+1.03)
Under 1.5 64.29% (-1.02)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5 68.63% (+1.04)
Under 0.5 31.38% (-1.03)
Over 1.5 32.26% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 67.75% (-1.18)

Score analysis

Bari 38.55%
Draw 27.53%
Catanzaro 33.91%
Bari
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.43)
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.98% (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.07% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.57)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.53%
Catanzaro
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.32% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Pietro Iemmello 44' goal
  • Federico Bonini 69' goal
  • Giacomo Quagliata 83' goal
  • goal Kevin Lasagna 27'
  • yellowcard Boris Radunovic 69'
  • goal Costantino Favasuli 78'
  • goal Andrea Favilli 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Mehdi Dorval 30' goal
  • Ahmed Benali 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mattia Maita 62' yellowcard
  • Raffaele Pucino 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Fabio Caserta 0'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Biasci 30'
  • yellowcard Fabio Caserta 31'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 45'+1'
  • goal Pietro Iemmello 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Buso 90'+5'
Serie B Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Jari Vandeputte 4' goal
  • Nicolo Brighenti 53' yellowcard
  • Pietro Iemmello 78' goal
  • Jari Vandeputte 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valerio Di Cesare 63'
  • yellowcard Francesco Vicari 72'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Benali 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Ilias Koutsoupias 28' goal
  • Ilias Koutsoupias 57' goal
  • Davide Diaw 77' yellowcard
  • redcard Vincenzo Vivarini 0'
  • goal Dimitris Sounas 30'
  • goal Luca Verna 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Davide Veroli 55'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Vivarini 56'
  • yellowcard Kevin Miranda 81'
  • redcard Kevin Miranda 83'
  • yellowcard Andrea Ghion 83'