League Two
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Emre Tezgel 9' goal
  • Adrien Thibaut 30' redcard
  • James Connolly 50' yellowcard
  • Max Sanders 60' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Morton 12'
  • yellowcard Clinton Mola 30'
  • yellowcard Jack Sparkes 36'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 60'

Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Tranmere 1 - 4 Crewe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Josh March

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
Bristol Rovers 0 - 3 Swindon
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 48.53% (+0.02)
Draw 24.03% (-0.01)
Bristol Rovers 27.44% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.15% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.28%
Under 2.5 44.72% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.92% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.08% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.74% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.26%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 81.47% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.53% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.77% (-0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 70.16% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.84% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.07% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.93% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 48.53%
Draw 24.03%
Bristol Rovers 27.44%
Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 48.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.03%
Bristol Rovers
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Luke Offord 40' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 55' yellowcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 65' goal
  • Aaron Rowe 73' goal
  • goal John Marquis 18'
  • goal James Wilson 25'
  • yellowcard John Marquis 41'
  • goal Antony Evans 42'
  • goal Ryan Cooney 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard C. Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Connor Taylor 65'
League One Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Jack Baldwin 41' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Ainley 19'
League One Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2021 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Charlie Kirk 4' goal
  • Ryan Wintle 23' goal
  • Oliver Finney 31' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 45' yellowcard
  • Olly Lancashire 55' goal
  • Travis Johnson 86' yellowcard
  • goal Max Ehmer 47'
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 45'+4'
  • goal Luke McCormick 51'
  • yellowcard Cian Harries 58'
League Two
Apr 9, 2012 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kelvin Mellor 6' goal
  • Harry Davis 49' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 18'
  • yellowcard Cian Bolger 76'
League Two
Dec 31, 2011 3.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Matt Harrold 9' goal
  • Mustapha Carayol 23' yellowcard
  • Scott McGleish 48' goal
  • Craig Stanley 50' yellowcard
  • Gary Sawyer 90' yellowcard
  • goal Cian Bolger 27' (OG)
  • goal Nick Powell 33'
  • goal David Artell 44'
  • yellowcard Ashley R Westwood 75'
  • yellowcard Matt Tootle 88'
  • goal Nick Powell 90'
League One
Mar 17, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dennis Lawrence 70' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Disley 33'
  • goal Darryl Duffy 74'