Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.