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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 24.16% | 23.09% | 52.75% |
| Both teams to score 57.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.71% | 43.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% | 65.68% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% | 31.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% | 68.07% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% | 16.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.93% | 46.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.21% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.69% Total : 24.16% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.53% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.75% |