Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.