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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 37.07% | 25.51% | 37.43% |
| Both teams to score 55.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% | 47.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% | 70.13% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% | 25.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% | 60.06% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% | 25.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% | 59.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 0.94% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.73% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.43% |