Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.