Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.