Copa del Rey
Dec 18, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Athletic Bilbao logo

Ourense CF
vs.
Athletic Bilbao

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Ourense CF and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ourense CF

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ourense CF 2-1 Girona
Wednesday, December 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletic Bilbao

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw has a probability of 26.79% and a win for Ourense CF has a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Ourense CF win it is 1-0 (8.75%).

Result
Ourense CFDrawAthletic Bilbao
24.57% (0.333 0.33)26.79% (0.681 0.68)48.64% (-1.013 -1.01)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-1.567 -1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (-2.198 -2.2)57.77% (2.198 2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49% (-1.767 -1.77)78.51% (1.768 1.77)
Ourense CF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-0.924 -0.92)39.25% (0.925 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-0.875 -0.88)75.96% (0.877 0.88)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-1.399 -1.4)23.83% (1.399 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-2.048 -2.05)58.01% (2.049 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Ourense CF 24.57%
    Athletic Bilbao 48.64%
    Draw 26.78%
Ourense CFDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.502 0.5)
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 24.57%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.757 0.76)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 13.41% (0.57 0.57)
0-2 @ 9.62% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-3 @ 4.6% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 48.64%