Copa del Rey
Dec 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET
  • David Muñoz Torres 45' yellowcard
  • 45' yellowcard
  • Enol Coto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Adrián Pérez Galiano 105' yellowcard
  • Adrián Pérez Galiano 105'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 44'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Rego Mora 79'
  • goal Mikel Jauregizar 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 107'

Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ourense CF

All competitions

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.94% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%) , while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Ourense CF 25.13% (+0.56)
Draw 26.94% (+0.16)
Athletic Bilbao 47.93% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.35% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.08% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 57.92% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 21.37% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 78.62% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 9.14% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 90.86% (+0.07)

Ourense CF Goals

Over 0.5 61.17% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 38.82% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 24.44% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 75.56% (-0.41)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 75.77% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 24.23% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 41.43% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 58.57% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Ourense CF 25.13%
Draw 26.93%
Athletic Bilbao 47.92%
Ourense CF
1-0 @ 8.9% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 5.97% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.21% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.88% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.33% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.93%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 13.33% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.45% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.47% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.92%