Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.94% and a win for Ourense CF had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%) , while for a Ourense CF win it was 1-0 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.