Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Ourense CF had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Ourense CF win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Ourense CF	Draw	Real Valladolid
28.44% ( -0.74)	27.78% ( 0.33)	43.77% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 46.38% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.94% (

-1.47)

59.05% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49% (

-1.15)

79.51% (

1.15)

Ourense CF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

-1.37)

36.64% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

-1.41)

73.43% (

1.41)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.46)

26.8% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91% (

-0.62)

62.09% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Ourense CF 28.44%

Real Valladolid 43.77%

Draw 27.78%

Ourense CF	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.44%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.77%