Copa del Rey
Jan 5, 2025 11.00am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio O Couto
  • Jairo Noriega Figueroa 17' goal
  • Jerin Marcolino Ramos Santos 32' goal
  • Angel Sanchez Baro 52' goal
  • Alejandro Fidalgo Gonzalez 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amath Ndiaye 13'
  • goal Raul Moro 15'
  • goal Selim Amallah 24'
  • yellowcard Anuar 65'
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 67'
  • yellowcard Mario Martin Rielves 90'+3'

Ourense CF vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ourense CF

All competitions

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Ourense CF had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Ourense CF win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Ourense CF 28.44% (-0.75)
Draw 27.78% (+0.33)
Real Valladolid 43.77% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.38% (-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.94% (-1.47)
Under 2.5 59.05% (+1.47)
Over 3.5 20.49% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 79.51% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 8.62% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 91.38% (+0.68)

Ourense CF Goals

Over 0.5 63.36% (-1.38)
Under 0.5 36.64% (+1.38)
Over 1.5 26.57% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 73.43% (+1.41)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 73.2% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 26.8% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 37.91% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 62.09% (+0.62)

Score analysis

Ourense CF 28.44%
Draw 27.78%
Real Valladolid 43.77%
Ourense CF
1-0 @ 9.86% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.82% (+0.54)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.78%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 12.93% (+0.54)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.51% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.74% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.77%