Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 36%. A win for Ourense CF had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Ourense CF win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo La Coruna would win this match.