Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Covadonga had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Covadonga win it was 1-0 (8.64%).