Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 43.87% ( | 23.14% ( | 33% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.48% ( | 37.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.25% ( | 59.75% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( | 17.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( | 48.12% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( | 22.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% ( | 56.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 4% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 33% |