La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 2, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
4 - 3
Leganes

Gutierrez (21'), Martinez (31'), Stuani (62' pen.), Gonzalez (73' og.)
Gazzaniga (88'), Krejci (89'), Romeu (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Tapia (24'), Cruz (41'), El Haddadi (77')
Neyou (33'), Nastasic (81'), El Haddadi (87'), Rodriguez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Extremadura 1924 0-4 Girona
Wednesday, October 30 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leganes

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Lucena 1-2 Leganes
Wednesday, October 30 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Leganes
53.16% ( 0.16)	24.13% ( -0.04)	22.71% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.76% (

0.03)

49.24% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.7% (

0.03)

71.29% (

-0.03)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.07)

18.46% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.34% (

0.13)

49.65% (

-0.13)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

-0.1)

36.21% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

-0.1)

72.99% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Girona 53.15%

Leganes 22.71%

Draw 24.13%

Girona	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.15%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.71%