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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Athletic Bilbao logo

Girona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Asprilla (39'), Stuani (90+9' pen.)
Krejci (31'), Gazzaniga (56'), Lopez (57'), Herrera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sancet (41')
Vivian (45+3'), Paredes (90+7')
Paredes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 2-3 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This is a tough match for both sides off the back of European contests; Athletic are certainly in the better form, but Girona are a strong outfit on home soil, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.

Result
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
48.58% (3.253 3.25) 24.01% (0.265 0.27) 27.4% (-3.516 -3.52)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-3.325 -3.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-3.322 -3.32)44.66% (3.326 3.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97% (-3.289 -3.29)67.03% (3.292 3.29)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-4.079 -4.08)29.84% (4.082 4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-5.227 -5.23)65.92% (5.23 5.23)
Score Analysis
    Girona 48.58%
    Athletic Bilbao 27.41%
    Draw 24.01%
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.31% (1.274 1.27)
2-0 @ 7.86% (1.075 1.08)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.605 0.61)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.255 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.494 -0.49)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.754 0.75)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.586 -0.59)
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.599 -0.6)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.41%

How you voted: Girona vs Athletic Bilbao

Girona
20.1%
Draw
32.5%
Athletic Bilbao
47.4%
154
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Girona
Berenguer (2', 56'), Williams (60')
Lekue (25')
Tsygankov (49'), Garcia (75')
Carlos (20'), Garcia (25')
Nov 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Girona
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')
Feb 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-3
Girona
Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
Garcia (4'), De Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
5Athletic Bilbao115331711618
6Real BetisBetis11533119218
7Mallorca12534109118
8Osasuna115331616018
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Sevilla114341215-315
11Celta Vigo114161720-313
12AlavesAlaves124171419-513
13Real Sociedad11335810-212
14GironaGirona113351114-312
15Leganes11254912-311
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid11227923-148
20Valencia11146817-97


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