La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Asprilla (39'), Stuani (90+9' pen.)
Krejci (31'), Gazzaniga (56'), Lopez (57'), Herrera (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sancet (41')
Vivian (45+3'), Paredes (90+7')
Paredes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 2-3 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
48.58% ( 3.25)	24.01% ( 0.27)	27.4% ( -3.52)

Both teams to score 57.18% (

-3.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.34% (

-3.32)

44.66% (

3.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97% (

-3.29)

67.03% (

3.29)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

18.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29% (

49.71% (

-0)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

-4.08)

29.84% (

4.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

-5.23)

65.92% (

5.23)

Score Analysis

Girona 48.58%

Athletic Bilbao 27.41%

Draw 24.01%

Girona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 1.27) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 1.08) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.61) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.75) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.36) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.41%