La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
1 - 4
Barcelona

Stuani (80')
Gil (36'), Portu (90+1'), Yamal (90+1'), Stuani (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Yamal (30', 37'), Olmo (47'), Pedri (64')
Victor Delgado (84')
Torres (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 7-0 Valladolid
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Barcelona
32.71% ( 0.53)	23.85% ( 0.03)	43.44% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 60.98% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

0.05)

41.07% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

0.05)

63.47% (

-0.05)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

0.34)

24.54% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

0.47)

59.02% (

-0.47)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

-0.22)

19.18% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15% (

-0.36)

50.85% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Girona 32.71%

Barcelona 43.44%

Draw 23.84%

Girona	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.71%	1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.44%