Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.