Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.