Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
| 60.03% ( | 21.72% ( | 18.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( | 44.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( | 67.13% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( | 14.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.51% ( | 42.5% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( | 38.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( | 75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.25% |