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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Final
Apr 6, 2024 at 9pm UK
San Mames Barria
Mallorca logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Mallorca

Sancet (50')
Paredes (27')
FT
(aet)
Rodriguez (21')
Muriqi (90+1'), Radonjic (119'), Gonzalez (126')
Athletic Bilbao win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Athletic Bilbao win the Copa del Rey for the 24th time in their history courtesy of a penalty-shootout victory over fellow La Liga outfit Mallorca in Saturday night's final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
61.68% (0.127 0.13) 22.66% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)52.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.084 -0.08)74.41% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75% (-0.207 -0.21)46.25% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09% (-0.159 -0.16)81.91% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 61.68%
    Mallorca 15.66%
    Draw 22.66%
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 61.68%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.66%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao
87.5%
Draw
8.0%
Mallorca
4.5%
88
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Mallorca
Berchiche (3', 16'), Guruzeta (62'), Muniain (89')

Larin (75')
Sep 3, 2023 3.15pm
May 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 32
Mallorca
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Kang-in (58')
Williams (90+6' pen.)
Aug 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Mallorca
Copete (22'), Battaglia (31'), Rodriguez (35'), Sanchez (66'), Kang-in (72'), Grenier (76')
Feb 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Mallorca
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla (22' pen.), Rodriguez (30'), Simon (88' og.)
Olivan (12'), Rodriguez (73'), Reina (75'), Raillo (80'), Kubo (88'), Muriqi (89')
Garcia (59'), Berenguer (61')
Zarraga (52'), Muniain (57'), Berchiche (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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