Copa del Rey | Final

Apr 6, 2024 at 9pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Mallorca

Sancet (50')
Paredes (27')

FT
(aet)

Rodriguez (21')
Muriqi (90+1'), Radonjic (119'), Gonzalez (126')

Athletic Bilbao win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Athletic Bilbao win the Copa del Rey for the 24th time in their history courtesy of a penalty-shootout victory over fellow La Liga outfit Mallorca in Saturday night's final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Mallorca
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
61.68% ( 0.13)	22.66% ( -0.02)	15.66% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 44.79% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.22% (

-0.1)

52.78% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

-0.08)

74.41% (

0.09)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

0.01)

16.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.46% (

0.02)

46.53% (

-0.01)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.75% (

-0.21)

46.25% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.09% (

-0.16)

81.91% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 61.68%

Mallorca 15.66%

Draw 22.66%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.73% Total : 61.68%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.66%