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Rodrygo
8'
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Aurelien Tchouameni
57'
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Nacho
71'
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Rodrygo
73'
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Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
87'
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.42%
0-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.53%
Head to Head
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Iker Muniain
4'
-
Daniel Vivian
67'
-
Inaki Williams
87'
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Rodrygo
28'
-
Jude Bellingham
36'
-
David Alaba
76'
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Karim Benzema
72'
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Oihan Sancet
49'
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Karim Benzema
24'
-
Toni Kroos
90'
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Dani Garcia
42'
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Oscar de Marcos
67'
-
Yuri Berchiche
68'
-
Alex Berenguer
89'
-
Toni Kroos
24'
-
Luka Modric
59'
-
Marcelino
51'
-
Dani Garcia
77'
-
Yeray Alvarez
90'
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Luka Modric
38'
-
Karim Benzema
52'
-
Eder Militao
87'
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Oihan Sancet
10'
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Unai Vencedor
43'
-
Dani Garcia
61'
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Karim Benzema
4'
-
Karim Benzema
7'
-
Vinicius Junior
42'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
62'
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