La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Sevilla

Vazquez (10'), Modric (81')
Ancelotti (13'), Kroos (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ocampos (70'), Kouassi (90+1'), Sow (90+8')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
70.52% ( -0.27)	17.27% ( -0.08)	12.21% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.19% (

1.34)

36.8% (

-1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.02% (

1.44)

58.97% (

-1.44)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.69% (

0.28)

9.3% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.6% (

0.67)

31.39% (

-0.68)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.63% (

1.45)

41.36% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.12% (

1.26)

77.87% (

-1.27)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 70.52%

Sevilla 12.21%

Draw 17.27%

Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.52%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.27%	1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.46% Total : 12.21%