La Liga Gameweek 26
Real Madrid
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Lucas Vazquez 10' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 13' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+8'

Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2024 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2024 8.00pm
Valencia 0 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Youssef En-Nesyri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 70.52% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 17.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Sevilla 12.21% ▲ (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18% ▲ (+1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.19% ▲ (+1.34)
Under 2.5 36.8% ▼ (-1.34)
Over 3.5 41.02% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 3.5 58.97% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 4.5 22.97% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 4.5 77.03% ▼ (-1.17)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.69% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 9.3% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 1.5 68.6% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 31.39% ▼ (-0.68)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 58.63% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 0.5 41.36% ▼ (-1.46)
Over 1.5 22.12% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 1.5 77.87% ▼ (-1.27)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 70.52%
Draw 17.27%
Sevilla 12.21%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 10.85% ▼ (-0.43)
2-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.49)
3-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.18)
5-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 70.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 17.27%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-96.86)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.21%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 10
Sevilla
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Madrid
  • David Alaba 74' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 85' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 87' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 78'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 85'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Sevilla
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Real Madrid
  • Rafa Mir 3' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 29'
  • goal Rodrygo 69'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla
  • Luka Modric 5' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 79' goal
  • Federico Valverde 81' goal
  • goal Erik Lamela 54'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Sevilla
Apr 17, 2022 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Ivan Rakitic 21' goal
  • Erik Lamela 25' goal
  • Anthony Martial 39' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 80' yellowcard
  • Oliver Torres 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 31'
  • goal Rodrygo 50'
  • yellowcard Nacho 78'
  • goal Nacho 82'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mariano 90'+9'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
Nov 28, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Sevilla
  • Karim Benzema 32' goal
  • Toni Kroos 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 69' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 87' goal
  • Casemiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mir 12'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 34'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 84'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Real Madrid
May 9, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Sevilla
  • Casemiro 21' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 67' goal
  • Eden Hazard 90'+4' goal
  • goal Fernando 22'
  • yellowcard Suso 56'
  • goal Ivan Rakitic 78'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 85'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Real Madrid
RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Girona
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico
Getafe 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Las Palmas 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Valencia 0 - 0 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 0 Atletico
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 1 Osasuna
Atletico 1 - 0 Sevilla
Girona 5 - 1 Sevilla

Build-up

News