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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Sevilla logo

Girona
5 - 1
Sevilla

Dovbyk (13', 15', 19'), Tsygankov (56'), Stuani (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Romero (10')
Sow (61'), Mejbri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Girona 2-1 Sevilla

 Sevilla certainly have enough quality to pick up a positive result this weekend, but Girona will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight. We are expecting a close match in terms of the scoreline but are backing Girona to navigate their way to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawSevilla
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 23.64% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 29.71% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 60.18% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (-0.29 -0.29)41.47% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-0.292 -0.29)63.86% (0.293 0.29)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)18.02% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-0.239 -0.24)48.9% (0.24 0.24)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)26.6% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-0.189 -0.19)61.82% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Girona 46.65%
    Sevilla 29.71%
    Draw 23.63%
GironaDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Girona vs Sevilla

Girona
77.4%
Draw
15.1%
Sevilla
7.5%
106
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sevilla
1-2
Girona
Gudelj (45+2')
Ocampos (58'), Salas (74')
Herrera (16'), Garcia (56')
Martinez (37')
> Preview
May 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
0-2
Girona
Juanpe (23'), Castellanos (55')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 17
Girona
2-1
Sevilla
Stuani (46'), Herrera (88')
Kouassi (13')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 35
Girona
1-0
Sevilla
Portu
Muniesa (44')

Mesa (67'), Banega (90')
Banega (90')
Dec 16, 2018 11am
Gameweek 16
Sevilla
2-0
Girona
Banega (55' pen.), Sarabia (64')
Banega (85'), Sarabia (89')

Fernandez (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Auger-Aliassime
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8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514
> La Liga Full Table


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