Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Girona |
27.76% ( 0.03) | 23.51% ( 0.01) | 48.73% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.88% ( -0.01) | 42.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.47% ( -0.01) | 64.52% ( 0.01) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( 0.02) | 28.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% ( 0.02) | 63.98% ( -0.02) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% ( -0.02) | 17.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.07% ( -0.03) | 47.93% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.88% Total : 48.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |