La Liga
Gameweek
18
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-
Raphinha
15'
-
Andreas Christensen
21'
-
Raphinha
33'
-
Sergi Roberto
60'
-
Sergi Roberto
83'
-
Ronald Araujo
90'
-
Alejandro Pozo
5'
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Leo Baptistao
41'
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Dion Lopy
57'
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Edgar Gonzalez
71'
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Iddrisu Baba
84'
Barcelona vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Barcelona
70.63%
▲
(+0.19)
Draw
16.54%
▲
(+0.17)
Almeria
12.83%
▼
(-0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
58.25%
▼
(-1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.61%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 2.5
31.38%
▲
(+1.82)
Over 3.5
47.16%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 3.5
52.84%
▲
(+2.18)
Over 4.5
28.18%
▼
(-1.95)
Under 4.5
71.82%
▲
(+1.96)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
92.08%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
7.91%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
72.01%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
27.98%
▲
(+1.05)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5
63.26%
▼
(-1.76)
Under 0.5
36.74%
▲
(+1.76)
Over 1.5
26.47%
▼
(-1.81)
Under 1.5
73.52%
▲
(+1.81)
Score analysis
Barcelona
70.63%
Draw
16.54%
Almeria
12.83%
Barcelona
2-1
@
9.37%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.32)
1-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.58)
4-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.20)
5-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.13)
6-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 70.63%
2-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.32)
1-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.58)
4-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.20)
5-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.13)
6-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 70.63%
Draw
1-1
@
7.38%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.54%
2-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.54%
Almeria
1-2
@
3.7%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.83%
0-1 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.83%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
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