La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 20, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
3 - 2
Almeria

Raphinha (33'), Roberto (60', 83')
Raphinha (15'), Christensen (21'), Araujo (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Baptistao (41'), Gonzalez (71')
Pozo (5'), Lopy (57'), Baba (84')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Mallorca
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Almeria
70.63% ( 0.18)	16.54% ( 0.17)	12.83% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 58.25% (

-1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.61% (

-1.82)

31.38% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.16% (

-2.17)

52.84% (

2.17)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.08% (

-0.41)

7.91% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.01% (

-1.05)

27.98% (

1.05)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26% (

-1.76)

36.74% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47% (

-1.81)

73.52% (

1.8)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 70.63%

Almeria 12.83%

Draw 16.54%

Barcelona	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.2) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 70.63%	1-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.54%	1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.83%