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Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
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Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Real Sociedad logo
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Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Almeria
Atletico
2 - 1
Almeria
Morata (17'), Correa (22')
Koke (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baptistao (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barbastro 1-0 Almeria
Wednesday, December 6 at 11am in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-0 Almeria

It would be one of the biggest surprises of the season if Almeria were able to pick up a positive result on Sunday, and we just cannot see the visitors avoiding defeat. Atletico will be aiming to bounce back from their loss to Barcelona and should have far too much quality for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAlmeria
71.03% (0.18300000000001 0.18) 16.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 12.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)34.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)56.79% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (0.030999999999992 0.03)8.68% (-0.032900000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.1% (0.075000000000003 0.08)29.9% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-0.226 -0.23)40.15% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (-0.207 -0.21)76.79% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 71.03%
    Almeria 12.14%
    Draw 16.83%
Atletico MadridDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.73% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 71.03%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.83%
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 12.14%

How you voted: Atletico vs Almeria

Atletico Madrid
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Almeria
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico
2-1
Almeria
Griezmann (5', 43')
Baptistao (37')
Jan 15, 2023 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid26205154163865
2GironaGirona26185357322559
3Barcelona26176356342257
4Atletico MadridAtletico26164652282452
5Athletic Bilbao26147546262049
6Real BetisBetis26101243126542
7Real Sociedad26101063526940
8Valencia2510692929036
9Las PalmasLas Palmas26106102626036
10Getafe2681083338-534
11Osasuna2696113037-733
12AlavesAlaves2678112532-729
13Villarreal2678113848-1029
14Rayo Vallecano26510112236-1425
15Sevilla2659123038-824
16Mallorca26412102334-1124
17Celta Vigo2649132939-1021
18CadizCadiz26212121737-2018
19Granada2528152749-2214
20Almeria2609172554-299

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