Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
71.03% (![]() | 16.83% (![]() | 12.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.18% (![]() | 34.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.21% (![]() | 56.79% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.32% (![]() | 8.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.1% (![]() | 29.9% (![]() |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.84% (![]() | 40.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.21% (![]() | 76.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
2-0 @ 10.41% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 71.03% | 1-1 @ 7.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 3.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | GironaGirona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |