La Liga
Gameweek
29
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Falmlog.png)
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Antoine Griezmann
5'
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Antoine Griezmann
43'
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Leo Baptistao
37'
Atletico Madrid vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 3-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Atletico Madrid
71.94%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
17.66%
▼
(-0.14)
Almeria
10.4%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
45.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.25%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
43.75%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
33.86%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
66.14%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
17.42%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
82.58%
▼
(-0.17)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
89.2%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
10.8%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
65.17%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
34.83%
▼
(-0.30)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5
50.87%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
49.13%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
15.95%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
84.05%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
71.93%
Draw
17.66%
Almeria
10.4%
Atletico Madrid
2-0
@
13.14%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 71.93%
1-0 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 71.93%
Draw
1-1
@
8.39%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 17.66%
0-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 17.66%
Almeria
0-1
@
3.77%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.4%
1-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.4%
