La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
0 - 1
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morata (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Girona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
31.82% ( 0.68)	26.6% ( 0.36)	41.58% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.58% (

-1.24)

53.42% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.05% (

-1.06)

74.95% (

1.05)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.82% (

-0.16)

31.17% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

-0.19)

67.51% (

0.18)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

-1.08)

25.36% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

-1.51)

60.15% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Girona 31.82%

Atletico Madrid 41.58%

Draw 26.59%

Girona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.82%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.58%