Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
| 35.4% ( | 27.68% ( | 36.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( | 77.94% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( | 30.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( | 66.89% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( | 29.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( | 65.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.91% |