Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.