Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
| 31.37% ( | 27.21% ( | 41.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( | 55.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( | 77.05% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( | 32.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( | 69.35% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( | 26.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( | 61.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.37% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.41% |