La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 30, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 2
Real Madrid

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benzema (83' pen., 89')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema in action against Real Valladolid on December 30, 2022

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Arenas de Getxo 1-5 Valladolid
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Cadiz
Thursday, November 10 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Madrid
21.06% ( -0.15)	22.25% ( -0.13)	56.69% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92% (

0.37)

43.08% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52% (

0.37)

65.48% (

-0.37)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67% (

0.06)

34.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96% (

0.07)

71.03% (

-0.07)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

0.22)

15% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.54% (

0.41)

43.46% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 21.06%

Real Madrid 56.69%

Draw 22.24%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 21.06%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.69%