La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Comesana (5'), Garcia (44'), Trejo (67' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Modric (37' pen.), Militao (41')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Celtic
Wednesday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Madrid
25.33% ( 1.83)	23.37% ( 0.25)	51.29% ( -2.09)

Both teams to score 57.42% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.53% (

0.64)

43.47% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.13% (

0.62)

65.87% (

-0.63)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

1.87)

30.81% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

2.15)

67.08% (

-2.15)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.52)

17.01% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.93)

47.13% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 25.33%

Real Madrid 51.29%

Draw 23.37%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.9% Total : 25.33%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 4% Total : 51.29%