Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Elche |
| 66.37% ( | 21.39% ( | 12.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.61% | 54.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% | 75.77% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( | 15.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% ( | 44.67% ( |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.52% ( | 52.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.68% ( | 86.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 15.23% 2-0 @ 14.12% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 3-0 @ 8.73% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 4-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.6% Total : 66.37% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 2.94% ( Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 12.23% |