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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Elche

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche

Camello (40'), Lopez (90+5')
Trejo (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boye (32')
Gonzalez (23'), Quina (47'), Badia (65'), Boye (69'), Lirola (81'), Ponce (83'), Morente (89'), Clerc (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Elche
Saturday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Elche

Elche have endured a rough start to the 2022-23 campaign and will set out to claim their first win of the season on Monday. However, they have managed just three wins in 12 away games this year. However, given their fine record against Rayo Vallecano, we predict that Rodriguez's side will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche
66.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 21.39% (0.0019999999999989 0) 12.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 40.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61%54.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23%75.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)52.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.68% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)86.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 66.37%
    Elche 12.23%
    Draw 21.39%
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche
1-0 @ 15.23%
2-0 @ 14.12%
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.63%
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 66.37%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.23%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Elche

Rayo Vallecano
75.4%
Draw
20.4%
Elche
4.2%
142
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
Elche
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Carrillo (76'), Ponce (84')
Guti (32'), Mojica (90+6')
Garcia (52')
Comesana (7'), Catena (68'), Sylla (72'), Balliu (75')
Oct 17, 2021 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Hernandez (26'), Nteka (65')
Lopez (81'), Garcia (90+1')
Boye (14')
Gumbau (28'), Casilla (90+4')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Elche
Bebe (36'), Catena (78')
Isi (75')

Nino (39'), Lucumi (71')
Mar 8, 2020 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-3
Elche
Suarez (30' pen.), Montiel (88')
Advincula (45'), Milic (84'), Catena (90')
Isi (63')
Gil (58'), Milla (67'), Escriche (79')
Manolin (45'), Gil (73'), Fidel (90')
Oct 5, 2019 5pm
Elche
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Nino (66')
Gonzalo (13'), Folch (69')
Martin (78')
Garcia (64'), Trejo (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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