La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 1-4 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Villarreal	5	8	10
6	Athletic Bilbao	5	7	10
7	Atletico Madrid	5	5	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
62.28% ( -0.63)	23.58% ( 0.27)	14.14% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 39.18% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49% (

-0.31)

58.51% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

-0.25)

79.08% (

0.24)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-0.35)

18.53% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

-0.59)

49.77% (

0.58)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.1% (

0.35)

51.9% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.06% (

0.23)

85.94% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 62.27%

Rayo Vallecano 14.14%

Draw 23.57%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 62.27%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 14.14%