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Inaki Williams
14'
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Oihan Sancet
28'
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Nico Williams
33'
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Oscar Trejo
5'
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Radamel Falcao
80'
Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 13.66% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 62.27%
0-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.14%
Head to Head
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Unai Lopez
89'
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Inaki Williams
17'
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Nico Serrano
30'
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Oier Zarraga
60'
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Dani Garcia
69'
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Unai Simon
82'
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Inigo Lekue
86'
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Nico Williams
88'
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Unai Nunez
16'
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Pathe Ciss
33'
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Iker Muniain
56'
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Inigo Martinez
90'+5'
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Alvaro Garcia
5'
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Alejandro Catena
7'
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Sergi Guardiola
42'
-
Nikola Maras
83'
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Radamel Falcao
90'+6'
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Inaki Williams
2'
-
Inaki Williams
50'
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Raul Garcia
72'
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Inaki Williams
90'
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Alex Moreno
45'
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Luis Advincula
49'
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Luis Advincula
52'
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Abdoulaye Ba
68'
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Raul de Tomas
85'
-
Jose Angel Pozo
23'
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Giannelli Imbula
59'
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Raul Garcia
53'
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Iker Muniain
66'
-
Raul Garcia
16'
-
Inaki Williams
61'
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Nacho Martinez
2'
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Raul Baena
16'
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Ze Castro
52'
-
Raul Baena
17'
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Roberto Trashorras
26'
-
Nacho Martinez
59'
-
Tito
92'
-
Aritz Aduriz
2'
-
Aritz Aduriz
24'
-
Aritz Aduriz
60'
-
Aymeric Laporte
64'