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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Valencia logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Valencia

Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
58.18% (0.096000000000004 0.1)25.13% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)16.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (0.097000000000001 0.1)59.94% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (0.074000000000002 0.07)80.19% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.076999999999998 0.08)20.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (0.121 0.12)53.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)49.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 58.16%
    Valencia 16.69%
    Draw 25.13%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 16.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia

Athletic Bilbao
35.0%
Draw
25.0%
Valencia
40.0%
20
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Valencia

Alvarez (8'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (90'), Simon (90+9')

Diakhaby (26'), Moriba (53'), Guillamon (72')
Guillamon (90+8')
Mar 2, 2022 8.30pm
Valencia
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Guedes (43')
Paulista (26'), Alderete (73'), Diakhaby (90+2')

Martinez (60'), Zarraga (90+5')
Feb 10, 2022 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valencia
Garcia (37')
Garcia (63')
Duro (65')
Foulquier (43'), Diakhaby (80'), Duro (90')
Gomez (45+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Maranhao (90+5')
Gomez (45+4'), Guillamon (47'), Jason (90+2'), Vallejo (90+8')
Gomez (82')
Martinez (69')
Garcia (49'), Berenguer (78')
Feb 7, 2021 3.15pm