| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Valencia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Barcelona | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
| 58.18% ( | 25.13% ( | 16.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.06% ( | 59.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( | 80.19% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( | 20.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( | 53.23% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.84% ( | 49.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.93% ( | 84.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 16.01% ( 2-0 @ 12.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-2 @ 3.18% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 1-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.69% |