La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Osasuna

Berenguer (33'), Villalibre (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

Osasuna

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Valencia	38	-5	48
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
53.72% ( -0.02)	24.99% ( -0.01)	21.29% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.91% (

0.07)

54.1% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.48% (

0.06)

75.52% (

-0.06)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

0.02)

20.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.63% (

0.03)

52.37% (

-0.03)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

0.07)

40.36% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

0.06)

76.98% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 53.71%

Osasuna 21.29%

Draw 24.99%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.71%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.29%