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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
San Mames
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Osasuna

Berenguer (33'), Villalibre (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna

Neither team can claim to be in their best form heading into their closing double-header, something which could make for a match mixed with quality and errors. Nevertheless, we feel that home advantage will prove key for Athletic, leading up to predict a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 24.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 21.29% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91% (0.069000000000003 0.07)54.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (0.057000000000002 0.06)75.52% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (0.07 0.07)40.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.064 0.06)76.98% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.71%
    Osasuna 21.29%
    Draw 24.99%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53.71%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
77.4%
Draw
18.9%
Osasuna
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')
Nov 24, 2019 1pm
Osasuna
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Avila (76')
Avila (2'), Brasanac (32'), Lillo (48'), Garcia (57')
Williams (21'), Kodro (79')
Cordoba (52'), Williams (58'), Berchiche (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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