| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
| 42.1% ( | 27.08% ( | 30.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( | 76.77% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( | 26.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( | 61.14% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( | 33.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% ( | 69.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.82% |