| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
| 56.85% | 25.47% | 17.68% |
| Both teams to score 41.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% | 80.09% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% | 21.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% | 53.98% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.92% | 83.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 15.7% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.96% Total : 56.85% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.46% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.14% Total : 17.68% |