| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mallorca.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
| 56.26% | 24.64% | 19.11% |
| Both teams to score 45.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% | 76.46% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% | 19.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% | 51.47% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.62% | 43.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.39% | 79.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 5.13% 4-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 2.09% Other @ 3.66% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 4.83% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.11% |