Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mallorca.