La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joao Felix 11' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Joao Felix 82' goal
  • Luis Suarez 90' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Escalante 63'

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2022 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Angel Correa

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2022 1.00pm
Alaves 2 - 3 Granada
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Joselu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 76.07%
Draw 16.05%
Alaves 7.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.32%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.4%
Under 2.5 44.6%
Over 3.5 33.03%
Under 3.5 66.97%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.03%
Under 0.5 9.97%
Over 1.5 67.05%
Under 1.5 32.95%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 44.78%
Under 0.5 55.22%
Over 1.5 11.99%
Under 1.5 88.01%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 76.05%
Draw 16.05%
Alaves 7.89%
Atletico Madrid
2-0 @ 14.63%
1-0 @ 12.69%
3-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 6.49%
4-1 @ 3.85%
5-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 76.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.54%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.05%
Alaves
0-1 @ 3.27%
1-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 7.89%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Victor Laguardia 4' goal
  • Mamadou Sylla 31' yellowcard
  • Mamadou N'Diaye 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 17'
  • yellowcard Kieran Trippier 53'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 55'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luis Suarez 54' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 76' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 85' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota 33'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 88'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Victor Laguardia 63' redcard
  • Felipe 84' goal
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 29'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 41'
  • goal Luis Suarez 90'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Jun 27, 2020 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wanda Metropolitano
  • Thomas Partey 40' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 59' goal
  • Diego Costa 73' goal
  • Stefan Savic 75' yellowcard
  • Koke 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pere Pons 45'
  • yellowcard Adrian Marin 58'
  • goal Joselu 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2019 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Mubarak Wakaso 29' yellowcard
  • Victor Laguardia 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Perez 83' goal
  • Manu Garcia 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 16'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 70'
  • yellowcard Felipe 75'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 89'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Tomas Pina 50' yellowcard
  • Manu Garcia 56' yellowcard
  • goal 0'
  • goal Saul Niguez 5'
  • goal Diego Costa 11'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 55'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 59'
  • yellowcard Juanfran 88'
  • goal Thomas Partey 89'