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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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Valencia logo
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Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Alaves logo

Atletico
4 - 1
Alaves

Felix (11', 82'), Suarez (75' pen., 90')
Llorente (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Escalante (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves

Atletico's recent form has been extremely impressive, and we are fully expecting them to put another victory on the board this weekend. Alaves beat the capital giants earlier this season, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result at Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
76.07%16.05%7.89%
Both teams to score 40.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4%44.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03%66.97%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03%9.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.05%32.95%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.78%55.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.99%88.01%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 76.05%
    Alaves 7.89%
    Draw 16.05%
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 14.63%
1-0 @ 12.69%
3-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 6.49%
4-1 @ 3.85%
5-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 76.05%
1-1 @ 7.54%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.05%
0-1 @ 3.27%
1-2 @ 2.24%
0-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 7.89%

How you voted: Atletico vs Alaves

Atletico Madrid
90.8%
Draw
6.1%
Alaves
3.1%
98
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Alaves
1-0
Atletico
Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
Alaves
1-2
Atletico
Felipe (84' og.)
Laguardia (63')
Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')
Jun 27, 2020 9pm
Oct 29, 2019 6pm
Alaves
1-1
Atletico
Perez (83')
Wakaso (29'), Laguardia (61'), Garcia (89')
Morata (70')
Llorente (16'), Felipe (75'), Hermoso (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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