Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
| 27.1% | 28.52% | 44.37% |
| Both teams to score 43.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.87% | 62.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.17% | 81.83% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% | 39.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% | 27.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% | 63.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 6.08% 2-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-3 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.67% Total : 44.37% |