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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Cadiz logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Cadiz

Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Cadiz

Atletico will again be missing a number of important players for this match, but Cadiz have injury problems of their own ahead of kickoff on Friday night. The visitors are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable match for Simeone's side, but we are expecting the Spanish champions to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
69.81%19.64%10.55%
Both teams to score 39.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36%51.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32%13.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11%40.89%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.14%53.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.81%87.19%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.8%
    Cadiz 10.55%
    Draw 19.64%
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 14.57%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.98%
4-0 @ 4.81%
4-1 @ 2.98%
5-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 9.07%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.64%
0-1 @ 4.56%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.55%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid
87.9%
Draw
7.1%
Cadiz
5.0%
141
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
Aug 12, 2016 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Atletico
Cadiz win 3-2 on penalties
Sanchez (90' pen.)
Carrasco (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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