La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 1
Cadiz

Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70

Cadiz

Last Six:

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Getafe	38	-8	39
16	Cadiz	38	-16	39
17	Mallorca	38	-27	39

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
69.81%	19.64%	10.55%

Both teams to score 39.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36%

51.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57%

73.43%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32%

13.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.11%

40.89%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.14%

53.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.81%

87.19%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 69.8%

Cadiz 10.55%

Draw 19.64%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 14.57% 3-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 4.81% 4-1 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.8%	1-1 @ 9.07% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.64%	0-1 @ 4.56% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.55%