Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
69.81% | 19.64% | 10.55% |
Both teams to score 39.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.36% | 51.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.57% | 73.43% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.32% | 13.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.11% | 40.89% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.14% | 53.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.81% | 87.19% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 14.57% 3-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 4.81% 4-1 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 9.07% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.64% | 0-1 @ 4.56% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
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