| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Elche |
| 45.64% | 26.58% | 27.78% |
| Both teams to score 49.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% | 55.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% | 76.29% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% | 24.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.63% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.78% |