| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Osasuna |
| 37.03% | 27.54% | 35.44% |
| Both teams to score 49.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.49% | 56.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% | 65.35% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% | 66.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.43% |