Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.