| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 69.84% | 19.09% | 11.07% |
| Both teams to score 43.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% | 70.26% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% | 12.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.29% | 38.7% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.36% | 50.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.9% | 85.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-0 @ 13.68% 1-0 @ 13.21% 3-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.43% 4-0 @ 4.9% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.77% Total : 69.82% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.34% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.19% Total : 11.07% |