Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
| 44.18% | 28.2% | 27.62% |
| Both teams to score 44.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.14% | 60.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.11% | 80.88% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% | 27.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% | 62.91% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% | 38.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% | 75.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.62% |