La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 20, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 4
Barcelona

Soler (52')
Moriba (53'), Duro (56'), Lato (76'), Soler (77')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Aubameyang (23', 38'), de Jong (32'), Pedri (63')
Alba (35'), Araujo (56'), Gonzalez (72'), Dest (90+3')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
22.24%	22.22%	55.53%

Both teams to score 57.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.55%

41.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.15%

63.85%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69%

32.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19%

68.81%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18%

14.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.88%

43.11%

Score Analysis

Valencia 22.24%

Barcelona 55.53%

Draw 22.21%

Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.5% Total : 22.24%	1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 9.86% 0-1 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 8.73% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 3% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.69% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.94% Total : 55.53%