La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
3 - 2
Valencia

Cunha (64'), Correa (90+1'), Hermoso (90+3')
Koke (27'), Hermoso (37'), Suarez (82'), Herrera (84'), Gimenez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Musah (25'), Duro (44')
Correia (14'), Foulquier (37'), Musah (43'), Guillamon (61'), Lato (65'), Domenech (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Valencia
61.39%	22.98%	15.62%

Both teams to score 43.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.93%

54.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.51%

75.49%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77%

17.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48%

47.52%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.93%

47.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.46%

82.54%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 61.39%

Valencia 15.62%

Draw 22.98%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 14.26% 2-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 5.54% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.98%	0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.62%