Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.