Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.