Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 47.86% | 26.51% | 25.63% |
| Both teams to score 47.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% | 56.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% | 77.13% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% | 23.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% | 37.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% | 74.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.63% |